Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1279.109011 1407.805896 1539.282194 1683.368977 1836.559658 1994.297314 2168.720756
2025-04-27 1086.662920 1277.301452 1480.611314 1712.440303 1968.331639 2241.061364 2552.606249
2025-05-04 948.171779 1172.656857 1420.009113 1710.417179 2039.671414 2399.109335 2818.861834
2025-05-11 836.870049 1082.777703 1361.582881 1697.173186 2086.245350 2519.385885 3034.237270
2025-05-18 760.965422 1024.849227 1331.622690 1708.854758 2154.504302 2658.738729 3266.805966
2025-05-25 686.245567 961.071194 1288.367083 1699.042894 2192.744418 2759.693970 3452.359209
2025-06-01 637.086822 924.081139 1273.262965 1719.174090 2263.320967 2896.095271 3677.661929
2025-06-08 577.654998 869.331146 1232.189200 1703.963390 2288.413966 2976.596188 3835.778403
2025-06-15 549.846494 853.080101 1237.242652 1743.994112 2379.342562 3134.838170 4085.987809
2025-06-22 510.786397 818.971136 1217.073395 1750.276269 2427.178059 3240.273138 4272.738201
2025-06-29 471.245297 781.395594 1189.996393 1745.633855 2459.730174 3326.008849 4435.148915
2025-07-06 416.418702 718.797743 1126.534315 1690.875923 2426.454598 3328.854073 4495.066862
2025-07-13 407.041085 720.926554 1150.465153 1751.579701 2541.942598 3518.229757 4787.104680
2025-07-20 387.629869 707.174179 1151.871934 1781.989771 2618.584479 3659.874736 5021.719373
2025-07-27 359.103826 677.873854 1130.090851 1779.901963 2652.047241 3746.761608 5188.343353
2025-08-03 329.374980 644.646909 1100.989723 1766.286466 2669.160918 3812.150192 5327.741124
2025-08-10 309.730983 625.743956 1091.220566 1778.295866 2719.522068 3919.637429 5520.196163
2025-08-17 285.325057 597.522066 1066.466897 1768.208690 2739.454999 3987.529936 5662.465683
2025-08-24 271.119469 584.960929 1064.018808 1788.904224 2800.500282 4108.528220 5872.631667
2025-08-31 248.553039 556.806569 1036.865267 1773.267312 2811.332439 4163.722008 5998.559128
2025-09-07 241.657221 554.962668 1049.330954 1814.417231 2899.897932 4320.852998 6256.013438
2025-09-14 226.929379 538.398528 1038.327930 1820.874305 2940.315312 4414.673586 6432.182320
2025-09-21 210.669498 517.911112 1020.225342 1816.102648 2964.575183 4486.870048 6580.407384